Fox News Poll: Trump Ahead of Harris by 2 Points Nationally
Former President Donald Trump is ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential contest, 50-48%, according to a new Fox News national survey. This is a reversal from last month when Harris had a narrow advantage. Harris, however, is ahead by 6 points among voters from the seven key battleground states and the candidates tie 49% each among voters in close counties (where the Joe Biden-Trump 2020 margin was less than 10 points).
Trump’s advantage comes from a larger share in counties he won by more than 10 points in 2020 (64-35%) than Harris has in counties Biden won by more than 10 points (58-39%). This raises the question of whether the Democrat could win the Electoral College while losing the national popular vote. The results are identical among the larger group of registered voters, with Trump’s 2-point edge falling well within the margin of error.
The movement toward Trump mainly comes from an increase in support among White voters, who now favor him by 10 points, up from 4 points last month and 6 points in August. He is also at record highs among voters 65 and over (49%) and those with a college degree (48%). At the same time, Harris receives her lowest support since becoming the nominee among Black voters (67%), college graduates (49%), voters 65 and over (47%), and Whites with a college degree (46%).
The 20-point gender gap remains, as men back Trump and women go for Harris. The good news for Harris is she gets 52% of new voters (those who haven’t voted in the last two presidential elections) and 20% non-MAGA Republicans. She is also maintaining her double-digit lead over Trump among independents. That keeps the contest close, as each candidate receives backing from over 9 in 10 of their respective partisans.
